Third Quarter 2024 Market Commentary

By Lock Bingham, CRPS®, CPWA® | October 4, 2024

As we move through the third quarter of 2024, the election jitters are starting to kick in. It’s pretty normal—markets don’t like uncertainty, and elections tend to bring plenty of that. The good news? It’s less about which party wins and more about having some clarity once the election is over. Once the dust settles, businesses can get back to making decisions, and things usually start to stabilize.

But after the election, our attention will likely shift back to the Federal Reserve. Typically, when the Fed lowers interest rates, it’s because we’re either heading toward a recession or already in one. Right now, though, we’re not in that territory, so their recent moves feel a bit unusual. It’s just another chapter in a decade full of surprises—massive government spending during good times, emergency stimulus during COVID, sky-high inflation, and rapid interest rate hikes. And despite all of that, we’ve avoided a deep recession. Go figure.

Normally, the Fed is criticized for waiting too long to act. But this time, they seem to be proactive. That said, we won’t really know the impact for another couple of quarters, since it takes time for interest rate changes to filter through the economy. Over the next six months, there’s a chance we could see the economy slowing down, more job losses, and maybe some turbulence in the markets.

So what should you do? My advice is to hold tight. Based on what we’ve seen over the last 10 years, both the Fed and Congress seem committed to doing whatever it takes to keep a deep recession at bay. Lowering rates should help stimulate the economy, just as raising them slowed things down. Of course, there are always other factors at play, so we’ll keep an eye on things to make sure your financial strategy stays balanced and in line with your goals.

If we do hit a rough patch, I expect there to be enough government support to pull us out of it. As always, I’m here to help you navigate these uncertain times, so feel free to reach out with any questions or concerns.

Let’s keep our focus on the long-term plan and stay the course.

Bingham Private Wealth, LLC (“BPW”) is a registered investment advisor. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where BPW and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure.

All information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. There is no representation or warranty as to the current accuracy, reliability or completeness of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information and it should not be relied on as such.

The views expressed in this commentary are subject to change based on market and other conditions. These documents may contain certain statements that may be deemed forward looking statements. Please note that any such statements are not guarantees of any future performance and actual results or developments may differ materially from those projected. Any projections, market outlooks, or estimates are based upon certain assumptions and should not be construed as indicative of actual events that will occur.